Scientists say the pattern of the last decade — after a precipitous rise in average global temperatures in the 1990s — is a result of cyclical variations in ocean conditions and has no bearing on the long-term warming effects of greenhouse gases building up in the atmosphere.
...Mojib Latif, a prize-winning climate and ocean scientist from the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at the University of Kiel, in Germany, wrote a paper last year positing that cyclical shifts in the oceans were aligning in a way that could keep temperatures over the next decade or so relatively stable, even as the heat-trapping gases linked to global warming continued to increase. full article
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
hot news on the cooling climate
Not much time tonight folks (what else is new?) but I thought I'd drop a quick link to address the climate cooling murmurings. Relatively stable temps are more complicated than they appear:
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It seems awfully convenient to call a long cooling pattern followed by a short warming pattern followed by a cooling pattern coincidence... followed by a claim that the truth is its been warming on a relative basis the whole time... I'm curious as to the validity of claims that the warming is heavily human but the cooling impacts are natural...
Seems to beg the question...would we be drifting into another ice age if not for industrialization?
I'll have to find some late night time to spend digging into the research on both sides and see but at moment I think a warming trend sandwiched between a 40 year cooling trend and a 10 year cooling trend looks very cyclical and relatively natural to my eye...
at the very worst I think that with a decade break there are more pertinent environmental issues we could focus on... 10 years brings a lot of innovation and I feel like there are more pressing issues... especially relative to the costs...
CO2 buildup correlated to temperature is a logarithmic function from what I've read and the US is the only industrialized nation to lower its absolute carbon emission while posting economic growth in the last report... If we get too strict right now it might have the opposite impact of what we want by exporting our pollution to less efficient countries damaging out economy and the earth...
every factory that is taxed out of the US and into India or China is bad for the environment on the whole... we should tred lightly I think and make sure to prioritize...
Interesting article I'll have to follow through to the sources and do more research when I have time.
Good post! Its something that I've been thinking about as of late obviously. :)
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